Novartis AG $160.35 (+0.35, 0.22%)

83% success, from Analysis 2* of this Model (*Public)

Summary

LONGSELL: Best moves 23 which gains 1167.9, return on capital invested 4.05%

Name

Parameters

{
  "version": "3.1.2.6450",
  "lastUsed": "2026-10-24T01:58:15.6829743",
  "source": "ShareLine21",
  "title": "Novartis AG",
  "notes": null,
  "allowNegativeFit": false,
  "ignoredFittingCauseTime": false,
  "autoCorrelation": false,
  "autoRestrictPolynomialFit": false,
  "startedFittingFromNumber": 1,
  "dataColumn": 3,
  "logColumn": 4,
  "fitRow": 9,
  "varianceCell": 11,
  "logRow": 13,
  "varianceLogCell": 15,
  "covarianceSize": 16,
  "correctionFactor": 0,
  "lowestTimeInterval": 1,
  "timeUnit": 1,
  "maximumPolynomialCoefficients": 2,
  "minimumPolynomialCoefficients": 2,
  "totalNumberOfCoefficients": 2,
  "waves": null,
  "waveTime": null,
  "lagMinimum": 0,
  "lagMaximum": 0,
  "lagIncrement": 0,
  "minimumAmplitudeToUseWaves": 0,
  "defaultMinimumAmplitudeToUseWaves": 0,
  "numberOfWaves": 0,
  "numberOfMoves": 0,
  "defaultMinimumStep": 0,
  "defaultMaximumStep": 0,
  "defaultNumberInClass": 0,
  "r2PostThreshold": 0,
  "minimumNumberOfObservations": 250,
  "numberOfObservationsTested": 0,
  "numberOfObservationsForecasted": 0,
  "numberOfObservationsFitted": 7,
  "totalNumberOfObservationsUsed": 252,
  "minimumNumberOfWavesThreshold": 0,
  "maximumNumberOfWavesThreshold": 0,
  "minimumNumberOfMovesThreshold": 1,
  "maximumNumberOfMovesThreshold": 25,
  "minimumImprovementThreshold": 0,
  "maximumReduction": 4,
  "bestNumberOfMoves": 23,
  "bestNumberOfPolynomials": 2,
  "maximumLogarithmicReduction": 0,
  "bestNumberOfLogarithmicMoves": 0,
  "bestNumberOfLogarithmicWaves": 0,
  "bestNumberOfWaves": 0,
  "bestNumberOfLogarithmicPolynomials": 0,
  "fitTimeAccumulation": 365,
  "forecastTimeAccumulation": 367,
  "showTimeVectors": false,
  "showTransitionTables": false,
  "showCovarianceTables": false,
  "showAverageFitting": false,
  "showMoveOneFitting": false,
  "showTrendFitting": false,
  "showTrendResidueFitting": false,
  "showPolynomialFitting": false,
  "showTimeTaken": true,
  "limitedOutputForAutomatedOperations": true,
  "saveTimeVector": [
    1,
    1,
    127.81,
    4.8505447861436230120920018533
  ],
  "saveCovarianceMatrix": [
    0.1597231203771974364347730466,
    0.0069445314570746421044749651,
    0.0069445314570746421044749651,
    0.0006313215611638837767931321,
    -0.6116504854368932038834951458,
    0.1189320388349514563106796117,
    -1.0006310679611650485436893193,
    -0.0075527918956114010710019691,
    -135.15038834951456310679611650,
    1.0006310679611650485436893193,
    8.742445631067961165048544934,
    0.0667384406673091248606941694,
    -4.9059114278425531688802821301,
    0.0075527918956114010710019691,
    0.0667384406673091248606941692,
    0.0005094777450181425895954773
  ],
  "saveLogTimeVector": null,
  "saveLogCovarianceMatrix": null,
  "saveFittingCoefficients": {
    "startCoefficients": [
      135.15038834951456310679611650,
      -1.0006310679611650485436893193
    ],
    "finishCoefficients": [
      142.83054670454698204105659166,
      0.0566771537935411679787295270
    ],
    "startLogCoefficients": null,
    "finishLogCoefficients": null
  },
  "sequentialMovesFitting": true,
  "periodSinceLastBought": 3,
  "periodSinceLastSold": 5,
  "periodBetweenLongAndShort": 2,
  "initialFitMagicNumber": 7,
  "tierIntoPositions": true,
  "ignoreBuyingLong": false,
  "ignoreSellingShort": false,
  "minimumReturnInvestmentThreshold": 5,
  "minimumUnderlyingPriceThreshold": 10,
  "minimumPercentagePeriodsInvestedThreshold": 30
}

Parameters

Automatically make forecasts using this model

83% is LESS than the minimal Indicator level of 95%, so it will not be automatically forecasted regardless of this setting

NVSEF @ US Cancel

Assets

Date	Name (*Public)	Description	Symbol	Type		Size	Action

Forecasts

Date	Value	Error	Logarithmic	Error

Analyses

Transactions

Details			Best Trend by Hindsight					Forecast		Profit or Loss
Date (*Public)	Symbol	Strategy	Data	Origin	Slope	Sigma	Cor %	Moves	Sigma	Moves	Gain %	Periods	Action

Logs

Date UTC	Location	Action	Description	Object	Severity	User	Action