Duolingo Inc $131.59 (-4.80, 3.52%)

97% success, from Analysis 144* of this Model (*Public)

Summary

SHORTSELL: Best moves 13 which gains 778.72, return on capital invested 3.7%

Name

Parameters

{
  "version": "3.1.2.40187",
  "lastUsed": "2026-10-21T01:31:46.4543564",
  "source": "ShareLine21",
  "title": "Duolingo Inc",
  "notes": null,
  "allowNegativeFit": false,
  "ignoredFittingCauseTime": false,
  "autoCorrelation": false,
  "autoRestrictPolynomialFit": false,
  "startedFittingFromNumber": 1,
  "dataColumn": 3,
  "logColumn": 4,
  "fitRow": 9,
  "varianceCell": 11,
  "logRow": 13,
  "varianceLogCell": 15,
  "covarianceSize": 16,
  "correctionFactor": 0,
  "lowestTimeInterval": 1,
  "timeUnit": 1,
  "maximumPolynomialCoefficients": 2,
  "minimumPolynomialCoefficients": 2,
  "totalNumberOfCoefficients": 2,
  "waves": null,
  "waveTime": null,
  "lagMinimum": 0,
  "lagMaximum": 0,
  "lagIncrement": 0,
  "minimumAmplitudeToUseWaves": 0,
  "defaultMinimumAmplitudeToUseWaves": 0,
  "numberOfWaves": 0,
  "numberOfMoves": 0,
  "defaultMinimumStep": 0,
  "defaultMaximumStep": 0,
  "defaultNumberInClass": 0,
  "r2PostThreshold": 0,
  "minimumNumberOfObservations": 250,
  "numberOfObservationsTested": 0,
  "numberOfObservationsForecasted": 0,
  "numberOfObservationsFitted": 7,
  "totalNumberOfObservationsUsed": 252,
  "minimumNumberOfWavesThreshold": 0,
  "maximumNumberOfWavesThreshold": 0,
  "minimumNumberOfMovesThreshold": 1,
  "maximumNumberOfMovesThreshold": 25,
  "minimumImprovementThreshold": 0,
  "maximumReduction": 3,
  "bestNumberOfMoves": 13,
  "bestNumberOfPolynomials": 2,
  "maximumLogarithmicReduction": 0,
  "bestNumberOfLogarithmicMoves": 0,
  "bestNumberOfLogarithmicWaves": 0,
  "bestNumberOfWaves": 0,
  "bestNumberOfLogarithmicPolynomials": 0,
  "fitTimeAccumulation": 365,
  "forecastTimeAccumulation": 366,
  "showTimeVectors": false,
  "showTransitionTables": false,
  "showCovarianceTables": false,
  "showAverageFitting": false,
  "showMoveOneFitting": false,
  "showTrendFitting": false,
  "showTrendResidueFitting": false,
  "showPolynomialFitting": false,
  "showTimeTaken": true,
  "limitedOutputForAutomatedOperations": true,
  "saveTimeVector": [
    1,
    1,
    293.88,
    5.6831715207520766822958364366
  ],
  "saveCovarianceMatrix": [
    0.2653074650743592787347947877,
    0.0204084021839651059793187377,
    0.0204084021839651059793187377,
    0.0034014030601978343283518214,
    -0.5957446808510638297872340427,
    0.1303191489361702127659574468,
    -2.0332446808510638297872340483,
    -0.0066597716299909962870312012,
    -318.43340425531914893617021280,
    2.0332446808510638297872340483,
    18.637988601823708206686927674,
    0.0612027261764831539942904856,
    -5.7639660367619682000101718545,
    0.0066597716299909962870312012,
    0.0612027261764831539942904851,
    0.0002010546692573011099032115
  ],
  "saveLogTimeVector": null,
  "saveLogCovarianceMatrix": null,
  "saveFittingCoefficients": {
    "startCoefficients": [
      318.43340425531914893617021280,
      -2.0332446808510638297872340483
    ],
    "finishCoefficients": [
      142.50133293631893189495549319,
      -0.2534917275676387688590719927
    ],
    "startLogCoefficients": null,
    "finishLogCoefficients": null
  },
  "sequentialMovesFitting": true,
  "periodSinceLastBought": 3,
  "periodSinceLastSold": 5,
  "periodBetweenLongAndShort": 2,
  "initialFitMagicNumber": 7,
  "tierIntoPositions": true,
  "ignoreBuyingLong": false,
  "ignoreSellingShort": false,
  "minimumReturnInvestmentThreshold": 5,
  "minimumUnderlyingPriceThreshold": 10,
  "minimumPercentagePeriodsInvestedThreshold": 30
}

Parameters

Automatically make forecasts using this model

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Assets

Date	Name (*Public)	Description	Symbol	Type		Size	Action

Forecasts

Date	Value	Error	Logarithmic	Error

Analyses

Transactions

Details			Best Trend by Hindsight					Forecast		Profit or Loss
Date (*Public)	Symbol	Strategy	Data	Origin	Slope	Sigma	Cor %	Moves	Sigma	Moves	Gain %	Periods	Action

Logs

Date UTC	Location	Action	Description	Object	Severity	User	Action