Carvana Co. Class A $75.59 (+1.89, 2.50%)

NYSE

87% success, from Analysis 8* of this Model (*Public)

Summary

SHORTSELL: Best moves 19 which gains 1077.42, return on capital invested 7.51%

Name

Parameters

{
  "version": "3.1.2.12733",
  "lastUsed": "2026-07-25T02:58:46.043451",
  "source": "ShareLine21",
  "title": "Carvana Co. Class A",
  "notes": null,
  "allowNegativeFit": false,
  "ignoredFittingCauseTime": false,
  "autoCorrelation": false,
  "autoRestrictPolynomialFit": false,
  "startedFittingFromNumber": 1,
  "dataColumn": 3,
  "logColumn": 4,
  "fitRow": 9,
  "varianceCell": 11,
  "logRow": 13,
  "varianceLogCell": 15,
  "covarianceSize": 16,
  "correctionFactor": 0,
  "lowestTimeInterval": 1,
  "timeUnit": 1,
  "maximumPolynomialCoefficients": 2,
  "minimumPolynomialCoefficients": 2,
  "totalNumberOfCoefficients": 2,
  "waves": null,
  "waveTime": null,
  "lagMinimum": 0,
  "lagMaximum": 0,
  "lagIncrement": 0,
  "minimumAmplitudeToUseWaves": 0,
  "defaultMinimumAmplitudeToUseWaves": 0,
  "numberOfWaves": 0,
  "numberOfMoves": 0,
  "defaultMinimumStep": 0,
  "defaultMaximumStep": 0,
  "defaultNumberInClass": 0,
  "r2PostThreshold": 0,
  "minimumNumberOfObservations": 250,
  "numberOfObservationsTested": 0,
  "numberOfObservationsForecasted": 0,
  "numberOfObservationsFitted": 7,
  "totalNumberOfObservationsUsed": 252,
  "minimumNumberOfWavesThreshold": 0,
  "maximumNumberOfWavesThreshold": 0,
  "minimumNumberOfMovesThreshold": 1,
  "maximumNumberOfMovesThreshold": 25,
  "minimumImprovementThreshold": 0,
  "maximumReduction": 7,
  "bestNumberOfMoves": 19,
  "bestNumberOfPolynomials": 2,
  "maximumLogarithmicReduction": 0,
  "bestNumberOfLogarithmicMoves": 0,
  "bestNumberOfLogarithmicWaves": 0,
  "bestNumberOfWaves": 0,
  "bestNumberOfLogarithmicPolynomials": 0,
  "fitTimeAccumulation": 365,
  "forecastTimeAccumulation": 366,
  "showTimeVectors": false,
  "showTransitionTables": false,
  "showCovarianceTables": false,
  "showAverageFitting": false,
  "showMoveOneFitting": false,
  "showTrendFitting": false,
  "showTrendResidueFitting": false,
  "showPolynomialFitting": false,
  "showTimeTaken": true,
  "limitedOutputForAutomatedOperations": true,
  "saveTimeVector": [
    1,
    1,
    73.556,
    4.2980470208786067375833928259
  ],
  "saveCovarianceMatrix": [
    0.1900010782604576186801995068,
    0.0100001277620108692635638134,
    0.0100001277620108692635638134,
    0.0011111262497396765270678961,
    -0.7074468085106382978723404256,
    0.1303191489361702127659574468,
    1.1406329787234042553191489366,
    0.0161714748416373072358845414,
    -63.024563829787234042553191487,
    -1.1406329787234042553191489366,
    9.171560354103343465045592725,
    0.1263842538801745887430071525,
    -4.1475370677270084934350091183,
    -0.0161714748416373072358845414,
    0.1263842538801745887430071527,
    0.0017422479967126065810646881
  ],
  "saveLogTimeVector": null,
  "saveLogCovarianceMatrix": null,
  "saveFittingCoefficients": {
    "startCoefficients": [
      63.024563829787234042553191487,
      1.1406329787234042553191489366
    ],
    "finishCoefficients": [
      64.206797237401460941506508072,
      -0.1408961457472641238910811749
    ],
    "startLogCoefficients": null,
    "finishLogCoefficients": null
  },
  "sequentialMovesFitting": true,
  "periodSinceLastBought": 3,
  "periodSinceLastSold": 5,
  "periodBetweenLongAndShort": 2,
  "initialFitMagicNumber": 7,
  "tierIntoPositions": true,
  "ignoreBuyingLong": false,
  "ignoreSellingShort": false,
  "minimumReturnInvestmentThreshold": 5,
  "minimumUnderlyingPriceThreshold": 10,
  "minimumPercentagePeriodsInvestedThreshold": 30
}

Parameters

Automatically make forecasts using this model

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Assets

Date	Name (*Public)	Description	Symbol	Type		Size	Action

Forecasts

Date	Value	Error	Logarithmic	Error

Analyses

Transactions

Details			Best Trend by Hindsight					Forecast		Profit or Loss
Date (*Public)	Symbol	Strategy	Data	Origin	Slope	Sigma	Cor %	Moves	Sigma	Moves	Gain %	Periods	Action

Logs

Date UTC	Location	Action	Description	Object	Severity	User	Action