Churchill Downs IN $94.43 (+3.27, 3.59%)

92% success, from Analysis 9* of this Model (*Public)

Summary

LONGBUY: Best moves 17 which gains 1006.09, return on capital invested 5.54%

Name

Parameters

{
  "version": "3.1.2.22957",
  "lastUsed": "2026-04-22T02:34:00.3077008",
  "source": "ShareLine21",
  "title": "Churchill Downs IN",
  "notes": null,
  "allowNegativeFit": false,
  "ignoredFittingCauseTime": false,
  "autoCorrelation": false,
  "autoRestrictPolynomialFit": false,
  "startedFittingFromNumber": 1,
  "dataColumn": 3,
  "logColumn": 4,
  "fitRow": 9,
  "varianceCell": 11,
  "logRow": 13,
  "varianceLogCell": 15,
  "covarianceSize": 16,
  "correctionFactor": 0,
  "lowestTimeInterval": 1,
  "timeUnit": 1,
  "maximumPolynomialCoefficients": 2,
  "minimumPolynomialCoefficients": 2,
  "totalNumberOfCoefficients": 2,
  "waves": null,
  "waveTime": null,
  "lagMinimum": 0,
  "lagMaximum": 0,
  "lagIncrement": 0,
  "minimumAmplitudeToUseWaves": 0,
  "defaultMinimumAmplitudeToUseWaves": 0,
  "numberOfWaves": 0,
  "numberOfMoves": 0,
  "defaultMinimumStep": 0,
  "defaultMaximumStep": 0,
  "defaultNumberInClass": 0,
  "r2PostThreshold": 0,
  "minimumNumberOfObservations": 250,
  "numberOfObservationsTested": 0,
  "numberOfObservationsForecasted": 0,
  "numberOfObservationsFitted": 7,
  "totalNumberOfObservationsUsed": 252,
  "minimumNumberOfWavesThreshold": 0,
  "maximumNumberOfWavesThreshold": 0,
  "minimumNumberOfMovesThreshold": 1,
  "maximumNumberOfMovesThreshold": 25,
  "minimumImprovementThreshold": 0,
  "maximumReduction": 5,
  "bestNumberOfMoves": 17,
  "bestNumberOfPolynomials": 2,
  "maximumLogarithmicReduction": 0,
  "bestNumberOfLogarithmicMoves": 0,
  "bestNumberOfLogarithmicWaves": 0,
  "bestNumberOfWaves": 0,
  "bestNumberOfLogarithmicPolynomials": 0,
  "fitTimeAccumulation": 365,
  "forecastTimeAccumulation": 366,
  "showTimeVectors": false,
  "showTransitionTables": false,
  "showCovarianceTables": false,
  "showAverageFitting": false,
  "showMoveOneFitting": false,
  "showTrendFitting": false,
  "showTrendResidueFitting": false,
  "showPolynomialFitting": false,
  "showTimeTaken": true,
  "limitedOutputForAutomatedOperations": true,
  "saveTimeVector": [
    1,
    1,
    91.0665,
    4.5115900088657963872513925925
  ],
  "saveCovarianceMatrix": [
    0.2098777410954310012171535271,
    0.0123458387647499927125553537,
    0.0123458387647499927125553537,
    0.0015432311817780086620415033,
    -0.5957446808510638297872340427,
    0.1303191489361702127659574468,
    -1.6358026595744680851063829806,
    -0.0170501722545762376578530086,
    -102.13479787234042553191489363,
    1.6358026595744680851063829806,
    25.915846129741641337386017215,
    0.2717698442938009243992285672,
    -4.6256434901864342567475871193,
    0.0170501722545762376578530086,
    0.2717698442938009243992285673,
    0.0028512389498068791800698688
  ],
  "saveLogTimeVector": null,
  "saveLogCovarianceMatrix": null,
  "saveFittingCoefficients": {
    "startCoefficients": [
      102.13479787234042553191489363,
      -1.6358026595744680851063829806
    ],
    "finishCoefficients": [
      91.95217261979265217280299045,
      0.1987402178009572492968163153
    ],
    "startLogCoefficients": null,
    "finishLogCoefficients": null
  },
  "sequentialMovesFitting": true,
  "periodSinceLastBought": 3,
  "periodSinceLastSold": 5,
  "periodBetweenLongAndShort": 2,
  "initialFitMagicNumber": 7,
  "tierIntoPositions": true,
  "ignoreBuyingLong": false,
  "ignoreSellingShort": false,
  "minimumReturnInvestmentThreshold": 5,
  "minimumUnderlyingPriceThreshold": 10,
  "minimumPercentagePeriodsInvestedThreshold": 30
}

Parameters

Automatically make forecasts using this model

92% is LESS than the minimal Indicator level of 95%, so it will not be automatically forecasted regardless of this setting

CHDN @ NASDAQ Cancel

Assets

Date	Name (*Public)	Description	Symbol	Type		Size	Action

Forecasts

Date	Value	Error	Logarithmic	Error

Analyses

Transactions

Details			Best Trend by Hindsight					Forecast		Profit or Loss
Date (*Public)	Symbol	Strategy	Data	Origin	Slope	Sigma	Cor %	Moves	Sigma	Moves	Gain %	Periods	Action

Logs

Date UTC	Location	Action	Description	Object	Severity	User	Action