Erie Indemnity Company $261.39 (+10.60, 4.23%)

98% success, from Analysis 26* of this Model (*Public)

Summary

SHORTSELL: Best moves 16 which gains 1097.76, return on capital invested 2.53%

Name

Parameters

{
  "version": "3.1.2.23903",
  "lastUsed": "2026-07-18T02:32:00.0702581",
  "source": "ShareLine21",
  "title": "Erie Indemnity Company",
  "notes": null,
  "allowNegativeFit": false,
  "ignoredFittingCauseTime": false,
  "autoCorrelation": false,
  "autoRestrictPolynomialFit": false,
  "startedFittingFromNumber": 1,
  "dataColumn": 3,
  "logColumn": 4,
  "fitRow": 9,
  "varianceCell": 11,
  "logRow": 13,
  "varianceLogCell": 15,
  "covarianceSize": 16,
  "correctionFactor": 0,
  "lowestTimeInterval": 1,
  "timeUnit": 1,
  "maximumPolynomialCoefficients": 2,
  "minimumPolynomialCoefficients": 2,
  "totalNumberOfCoefficients": 2,
  "waves": null,
  "waveTime": null,
  "lagMinimum": 0,
  "lagMaximum": 0,
  "lagIncrement": 0,
  "minimumAmplitudeToUseWaves": 0,
  "defaultMinimumAmplitudeToUseWaves": 0,
  "numberOfWaves": 0,
  "numberOfMoves": 0,
  "defaultMinimumStep": 0,
  "defaultMaximumStep": 0,
  "defaultNumberInClass": 0,
  "r2PostThreshold": 0,
  "minimumNumberOfObservations": 250,
  "numberOfObservationsTested": 0,
  "numberOfObservationsForecasted": 0,
  "numberOfObservationsFitted": 7,
  "totalNumberOfObservationsUsed": 252,
  "minimumNumberOfWavesThreshold": 0,
  "maximumNumberOfWavesThreshold": 0,
  "minimumNumberOfMovesThreshold": 1,
  "maximumNumberOfMovesThreshold": 25,
  "minimumImprovementThreshold": 0,
  "maximumReduction": 2,
  "bestNumberOfMoves": 16,
  "bestNumberOfPolynomials": 2,
  "maximumLogarithmicReduction": 0,
  "bestNumberOfLogarithmicMoves": 0,
  "bestNumberOfLogarithmicWaves": 0,
  "bestNumberOfWaves": 0,
  "bestNumberOfLogarithmicPolynomials": 0,
  "fitTimeAccumulation": 365,
  "forecastTimeAccumulation": 366,
  "showTimeVectors": false,
  "showTransitionTables": false,
  "showCovarianceTables": false,
  "showAverageFitting": false,
  "showMoveOneFitting": false,
  "showTrendFitting": false,
  "showTrendResidueFitting": false,
  "showPolynomialFitting": false,
  "showTimeTaken": true,
  "limitedOutputForAutomatedOperations": true,
  "saveTimeVector": [
    1,
    1,
    350.314,
    5.8588298951484803772006323321
  ],
  "saveCovarianceMatrix": [
    0.2214544877252749819346030885,
    0.0138410012332729757011086128,
    0.0138410012332729757011086128,
    0.0018454683554882302221210834,
    -0.7074468085106382978723404256,
    0.1303191489361702127659574468,
    1.1973553191489361702127659536,
    0.0033835734725200363592336276,
    -346.90514255319148936170212768,
    -1.1973553191489361702127659536,
    22.423254038966565349544070775,
    0.0632975136012762431101869545,
    -5.8491134913379878607110289262,
    -0.0033835734725200363592336276,
    0.0632975136012762431101869541,
    0.0001786823387980432007781716
  ],
  "saveLogTimeVector": null,
  "saveLogCovarianceMatrix": null,
  "saveFittingCoefficients": {
    "startCoefficients": [
      346.90514255319148936170212768,
      1.1973553191489361702127659536
    ],
    "finishCoefficients": [
      236.92608367746263819446649424,
      -0.2068803759069933320858076839
    ],
    "startLogCoefficients": null,
    "finishLogCoefficients": null
  },
  "sequentialMovesFitting": true,
  "periodSinceLastBought": 3,
  "periodSinceLastSold": 5,
  "periodBetweenLongAndShort": 2,
  "initialFitMagicNumber": 7,
  "tierIntoPositions": true,
  "ignoreBuyingLong": false,
  "ignoreSellingShort": false,
  "minimumReturnInvestmentThreshold": 5,
  "minimumUnderlyingPriceThreshold": 10,
  "minimumPercentagePeriodsInvestedThreshold": 30
}

Parameters

Automatically make forecasts using this model

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Assets

Date	Name (*Public)	Description	Symbol	Type		Size	Action

Forecasts

Date	Value	Error	Logarithmic	Error

Analyses

Transactions

Details			Best Trend by Hindsight					Forecast		Profit or Loss
Date (*Public)	Symbol	Strategy	Data	Origin	Slope	Sigma	Cor %	Moves	Sigma	Moves	Gain %	Periods	Action

Logs

Date UTC	Location	Action	Description	Object	Severity	User	Action